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Special Report: Pending FDA Decision for Hemispherx (AMEX:HEB) PDF  | Print |  E-mail
Written by M.E. Garza and Michael Vlaicu   
Monday, 18 May 2009 13:34

What is going on with Hemispherx Biopharma?  To casual observers, that is the big head scratcher.

Such a mystery, in fact, that the company was contacted by NYSE Amex officials and asked if Hemispherx might issue a public statement indicating as to whether there are any corporate developments which might explain the unusually high level of trading activity for the stock.

Indeed, many wondered why, in the past two trading sessions, the price per share for the company has doubled, without any of the oft discussed "apparent material events."

Those have been keeping up with our coverage of this company on BiomedReports- and specifically those of you who invest using our FDA and Clinical Trials Calendars- know that the stock price continues to spike today following a 41% surge on Friday as traders anticipate the upcoming FDA decision on approval of the company's key drug candidate- Ampligen® (poly I:poly C12U)- a synthetic being developed for the potential treatment Ampligen includes application as a treatment for Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS).

The stock ended the day on Monday up another 48% and is currently trading at $2.10 per share after hours (as this story is posted).

To say that insiders at the company are excited about the drug's chances for approval three months after a PDUFA decision date was delayed is an understatement.  Their journey has been long and difficult.

Earlier in the year, the original FDA decision date had been announced as 2/18/09, but then suddenly that was delayed because additional data was submitted by HEB within three months of original decision date.  When the delay was announced, there was a sell off  that took the stock price from about $0.80 per share down to nearly $0.40. Some investors wondered if the company was heading down the same rocky road they had been down before with Ampligen.

Ampligen was first synthesized in the 1970s and has been proposed and tested as a treatment for many illnesses, but primarily chronic fatigue syndrome and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome.

Ampligen was developed after Merck & Co. (NYSE: MRK), in the 1960s, synthesized a double-stranded RNA compound composed of inosinic and cytidylic acid residues inhibited tumor growth by inducing interferon production.  In the mid-1970s, Dr. William A. Carter, a post-doctoral researcher at Johns Hopkins University, modified the dsRNA molecule by adding uridylic acid molecules at specific interval along the RNA chain. The new compound, called Ampligen (for AMPLIfied GENetic activity) stimulated interferon production like poly I:C, but was less toxic.

Carter originally founded a company, HEM Research, Inc., based upon the compound and licensed it from Johns Hopkins. By the late 1980s, Carter and his company were pursuing other human therapeutic uses for Ampligen, as well as non-therapeutic uses, such as diagnostic testing for HIV and protecting plants from pathogens.

Ampligen was tested in clinical trials beginning in 1988, after DuPont invested $30 million in Hemispherx. Initial success in a small trial for AIDS treatment was followed by difficulties in persuading the FDA to permit large scale trials. By 1991, it was thought that the chance of approval for a large trial being conducted in the USA had gone. Hemispherx then began to move clinical trials to Canada and Belgium.

In Belgium, Ampligen has been available for use since the drug's trial beginning in May 1996. It has also been available under Canada's Emergency Drug Release Program for both Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS) and HIV treatment since 1996, with marketing rights controlled by Biovail Corporation International.

Over its developmental history, Ampligen has received various designations, including “orphan drug product” and “emergency compassionate cost recovery sales authorization” both from the FDA and "promising" clinical outcome recognition based on the evaluation of certain summary clinical reports (AHRQ, Agency Health Research Quality).

On December 3, 2007, the FDA deemed the new drug application submitted by the company on October 10, 2007 to be incomplete. Specifically eleven deficiencies were noted in the Clinical Section and three in the Pre-Clinical Section.

Continuing down the rocky road, Hemispherx management had missed several target deadlines for new drug application (NDA) filing in the past, including the end of 2005, the third quarter of 2006, and the first quarter of the year 2007.

According to published sources, in October 2007, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Ampligen NDA was filed, marketing for the treatment of CFS now hangs in the balance. This time around, the company was not going to take any chances. They have submitted plenty of positive data and spirits are high within the company that the approval will come. Some institutional investors like their chances as well. In the past few days, the company got an injection of capital from them for the continuing development of the drug. "We've signed to obtain an $18.3 million investment from some institutional shareholders," said Dr. Carter during an interview on Friday. "We also have a $28 million credit line with Fusion Capital."

Carter says the company is looking at a strong balance sheet which provides HEB with some level of guarantee towards multiple years of operation (at least 4 or 5 years according to Carter).

"Of course, we do have a commercial product that is already on the market (Alferon N Injection® ), we plan to expand its sales, so we see a very healthy future for the company and a healthy financial balance sheet- even in the event that the secondary approval is delayed, which by the way is not our expectation."

Dr. Carter, generally considered to be a pioneer in Interferons (IFNs are natural cell-signaling proteins produced by the cells of the immune system) and their Pharmaceutical uses. There are some 30 or so diseases in which Interferon therapy is now the treatment of choice and it captures about $7 billion a year.

"Our Ampligen product is pending FDA approval as a mono therapy for Chronic Fatigue Syndrome which affects 4 million Americans, potentially up to 6 million and there are no other drugs on the market for this disease."

In addition, Ampligen is of global importance given it's application for viral diseases and disorders of the immune system including HPV, HIV, Hepatitis and influenza. Hand in hand with the government of Japan, the company is conducting trials showing very positive results for the drug as a booster treatment for influenza in the vaccine space.

More recently, the FDA had requested additional information from the animal studies for Ampligen.

"We have completed the animal studies that were requested by the agency (FDA)," explains Dr. Carter. "And we have produced an initial report of the studies and are now in the process of submitting final reports, but we've already given the conclusions to the agency. "

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome, whose symptoms include widespread muscle and joint pain, cognitive difficulties, chronic, often severe mental and physical exhaustion and other characteristic symptoms in a previously healthy and active person, was largely considered psychosomatic until studies began to prove otherwise. Recently published papers indicate the problem may have it's origins at the genetic level.

"This is a disease that actually involves the genetic machinery, and specifically the machinery involved in mounting an immunological response  and also a gene that is involved in energy metabolism," explains Dr. Carter. "We now have a finger print test which can be applied (which didn't exist three or four years ago) and can identify patients at risk. So there has been a sea change in our understanding about the disease."

The Centers for Disease control recently asked Hemispherx to begin collaborating directly with them when it comes to CFS.

"We're very pleased that shortly we'll be working directly with the CDC to better understand the disease and of course specifically on how to take this experimental treatment and ultimately make it the first standard of care for these patients who are so sick." says Dr. Carter.

Ampligen is received intravenously.  It is generally administered twice weekly for periods of one year or greater. Two toxicology studies were recently completed that establish the safety of intranasal and intramucosal methods of Ampligen administration.

The drug has a PDUFA decision date of 5/25/09. (Note, the decison could come earlier or later than anticipated due to the fact that this date falls upon the Memorial Day holiday and the markets will be closed).

(Micheal Vlaicu, a Toronto based analyst of StocksHaven.Com and guest writer at BioMedReports contributed to this article. A full audio interview with Dr. Carter can be heard here).




BiomedReports is not paid or compensated to report news and developments about publicly traded companies. Full disclosure can be read at the bottom of / About Us / Section

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Comments (12)add comment

Abbas Hiptullah said:

...
What are the chanced of Ampligen getting approved this time around. Are there any signs either way? I am a stock holder and I was confused by the moved to sell 12 million shares by the company? Any thoughts?
 
May 20, 2009
Votes: +0

Joe Gardner said:

...
Not sure but I am worried stock will drop fast if it doesn't pass. Not sure why they sold all those shares so cheap.
 
May 20, 2009
Votes: +0

M.E. Garza said:

...
If you look closely at the filings, it appears that those institutional investors made the deals to purchase the shares days ahead of the time. When the deals were finally announced the stock was trading higher. That shocked the price of the stock and made many investors nervous.

What Dr. Carter was doing by securing these deals was improving the financial picture for the company and ensuring that the company has enough money to market their new drugs regardless of the upcoming FDA decision. He says as much in the interview.

For what it's worth. It appeared to us that spirits were very high at HEB and most insiders feel that they are going to get FDA approval this time. Let's hope they are right.
 
May 21, 2009
Votes: +5

jaynise8420 said:

...
Ok Ive done my DD and now im coming to grips with the face that i do not believe Ampligen will get approved. 4 things that may seem minor but now are glaring in my face:

1: Go to HEB website and compare with a company like Cell theraputics or Dendreon... The quality of the web pages are far more vast than HEB. Leads me to question what are they doing with the money???? I mean in comparison the website looks like @ss.

2: Also if you check the 3 companys career page, CTIC and DNDN are hiring for many positions, but yet HEB isnt hiring for not one. Now i find it very peculiar that a company with prospects of a future blockbuster drug isnt hiring for a damn thing, not one position, not even marketing, but Dr.Carter is confident of drug approval.

If a company is confident of drug approval or company expansion, wouldnt they have measures in place months ahead of time to ensure a seamless transistion??? Thats just very odd to me

and 3: The two recent public offerings, I mean it makes no sense whatso ever to do right b4 FDA decision, if you were so confident that Ampligen is accepted. And why didnt the big institutions and Hegde Funds of big money come in months ago when the stock was 40 cents. That tells me they had no confidence in the company in the past and they took advantage of the swine flu outbreak to make some dollars with HEB with there annoucement about ampligen also could be beneficial with enfluenza outbreak.

4: seriously when they first sumitted the NDA how could they not give the FDA everything they needed, its like you send everything you got and dont withhold info unless u got something to hide. theyve been around since the 1960's i would think by now they would know how to deal with the FDA and know what they expect when sending paper work to them.

I know you guys are gonna say the website quality deal is stupid but ive been trying to find little things and that is little but that little quality goes a long way with me now

And another thing, how is it that Hemispherx is the only company with the possible treatment of CFS and all these other possible illnesses lol I mean did Dr.Carter and company have excess to the nations top scientist and physicist and no other company has a chance???? that sounds like a little to good to be true.

IM not a basher im just a Long with money invested thats losing a little hope in the company and things just arent adding up now.I mean come on its been almost a half of century with HEB lets get serious.
 
May 21, 2009
Votes: -1

rob said:

...
expect an approval cause this drug really does work
 
May 21, 2009
Votes: +2

Bob marl said:

...
So by way of clarifying some of the issues made in the last post, I thought I would start by saying that there really is no way to tell which way the FDA will go - remember Vanda?

And although I'm not a HEB bull I'm also not a bear in this regard.

Their website is certainly not the greatest but is also not the worst I've seen. Not everyone views their own web presence as a marketing tool which has to be said of Dendreon and Cell therapeutics.

Also, having jobs on offer can just as easily mean that people have left the company for more lucrative positions else where and need to be replaced. Not having jobs on offer means nothing if you already have a good team.

There's been a lot of comment about the two recent share offerings and understandably because anyone who bought in later had to see their share value drop considerably making it that much more important that the approval comes, in order to make that money back.

There is a big difference between confidence and certainty and because no one at HEB can be certain of the approval they have to hedge their bets. They couldn't wait for afterwards because there may not be an afterwards if they don't have adequate funding.

You make hay while the sun shines and there's always the possibility of an approvable letter which will require time, money and effort to deal with in order to put Ampligen back on the path to a later approval.

As far as their NDA submission went, - the FDA asked them to produce additional information from animal studies which they set about getting and duly submitted.

Ampligen has been approved and used in Canada and Europe since the nineties. It has a good safety record and works. This is not in question.

Ampligen's position as a possible only drug of choice for CFS is no accident - Dr. Carter was instrumental in developing it years ago and from what has been written, it has been shown to have possible benefits on a number of conditions.

It has to be promising if the Centre for Disease Control wants to work with HEB.

There are many new and unique therapies being developed by a number of companies and Hemispherx is currently the only one to have developed this particular compound - that's just the way it is.

The only question remaining is whether the FDA feel like giving 4 to 6 million Americans a medical solution to a debilitating condition.

 
May 21, 2009
Votes: +14

udnug said:

...
Bob, Excellent analysis, that was very informative.
 
May 21, 2009
Votes: +0

mkrolczyn said:

...
http://www.nasdaq.com/asp/hold...lected=HEB

in last 3 months 13 buys and 0 (ZERO) sells
in last 12 months 28 buys and 0 (ZERO) sales

This is a good indicator that people who work there fully believe in
the success of this approval.
 
May 22, 2009
Votes: +4

kufinda said:

...
With all the positive news I read on this, why...WHY is stock dropping so consistently prior to approval date?! and WHY does this seemingly idiot of a CEO keep diluting shares??
 
May 22, 2009
Votes: +0

Dan Kelly said:

...
I jumped into HEB above it's closing high of $2.03. I've talked with the investor relations director, Diane Wilson. The stock closed at $1.20 (after market) today, May 22, 2009. Does anyone know what will happen if Ampligen is approved next week as scheduled? Is there a way to put a value on the company with projected sales of the drug? Has the stock price already seen its high? Will the stock plunge on the announcement even if it is positive? What if it gets another extension or worse still denied? Is this the beginning or is this the end? I understand the "institutional investors" have dumped their stock. Certainly by the ones committed at $1.34. And earlier by the ones at $1.10. The company gets its cash and apparantly can now pay their vendors and employees with real money instead of the stocks or warrants they have been giving out in lieu of cash. Please give your opinions.
Please respond.

Dan Kelly
This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it
 
May 22, 2009
Votes: +1

Dan Kelly said:

May 22, 2009
Votes: +0

lazyshark said:

...
this is compound with an unknown mechanism of action (mechanism is barely clear for poly(I:C) itself, its parent molecule, and fine modifications of the sequence are likely to affect receptor recognition so to possibly change biological effects by 180 degrees... available data on poly(I:C12U) receptor/mechanism of action are weak or inexistent), capable to treat a disease (chronic fatigue syndrome) with an unknown etiology... uhmm... makes perfect sense

OK, we do not know how, but it works. Really? I found one single report dating back to 1994, co-authored by W.A. Carter, that claims some positive clinical results (Strayer et al., Clin Infect Dis, 1994), published in a specialized journal. What happened after then? The only completed Phase III trial apparently started in 2005. No data have been published. Am I missing some additional, solid, publicly available, evidence?

thankyou

 
May 24, 2009
Votes: +0

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