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Q&A: "How do I make money investing in biotech healthcare stocks?" PDF  | Print |  E-mail
Written by M.E.Garza   
Wednesday, 09 September 2009 22:20

I wanted to share a recent letter I got from one of our readers. Actually, I get a letter like this one several times a month, sometimes even a few times a week. It has to do with two of the most basic subjects in on-line investing: Good research and good trades.

The name of the person asking the question has been changed, but I promise you that the question is real. I decided to publish this because I understand that many of the novice investors in biotech and healthcare want to know the same thing, but that they may not have taken the initiative to ask for help.

As far as the writers and administrators of this site are concerned, we are all very, Very, VERY excited about this sector and we want ALL of our readers to make lots of money investing and trading stocks. I'm not just saying that, either. Many of us have found that there is no greater reward than in helping someone make money or in teaching them to make money.

"Give a man a fish and they'll eat for a day. Teach a man to fish and they'll eat for a lifetime."

With that in mind, we're going to soon launch some interesting new features on the site. Some of those new features will be interactive and will help our growing community share knowledge, tips and good information.

Remember that countless of millions of new investors enter the market every year in hopes of making money by trading stocks. It is generally accepted that 30% of those "traders" (note that I didn't say investors- there is a difference) will make money in the market and the other 70% will give them all of their money. We want our readers to be in that profitable 30% minority, but we can't do it for you alone. You MUST take the time to learn and invest in yourself as an equities trader before you invest in someone else. Otherwise you will lose most or all of your money.

Now to the letter:

I'm just getting starting to learn how to invest in the biomedical sector and my question is, how do I use your FDA calendar to research or make money?  What do I need to do in order to become profitable in this sector? I have lost about $9,800.00 this year so far and I can't afford to lose more.

Thank You For Your Help,

J. Johnson

Ok.. Let's start with the basics.

First, most of us who use the FDA calendar as a research tool assume one thing: "The price of a biotech/pharma company's stock will go up as the key FDA decision date approaches. So one of the most simple ways (and there are several) that investors make money is to buy stocks with pending FDA desicions 1-3 months BEFORE that date arrives.

As the FDA decison date approaches, big crowds of speculators and traders start coming in to buy shares of the same stock and the price of that stock goes up. this occurs over and over again as long as the price of the shares for that company were "low" to begin with. Most are.

You can see a very recent example of this with SPPI. Look at the chart and you will see how the price of the stock rose tremendously in the two months prior to their recent FDA decision. There are many many other examples. Over and over again you will find that this pattern repeats itself.



Sometimes the price will double or even triple BEFORE the FDA decision. The key is that you may want to hedge your bet by buying several stocks and not just one, because you never want to put all of your eggs in one basket. What if there is a surpise or bad news from that stock? Think of it as having a multi-pane window... If a baseball or rock hits your window, it will only break one of your panes and not the entire window. Make sense?

Before BioMedReports, investors were paying tens of thousands of dollars a year for this FDA calendar information. We gather, update, organize and make the information available to our subscribers for a very reasonable fee. BEWARE of sites promising free FDA Calendar information. They do not update the data and often publish outdated or flat out wrong information and that will quickly cause you to lose money. Their intentions are often malicious, and while they pride themselves in giving away the information for free, the truth is that they actively hit their members up for "donations" and harvest e-mail accounts and personal data for other uses. Worse yet, they end up causing damage to the bio investment community by flooding the market with bad intelligence. at the end of the day, you get what you pay for.

Remember also that PATIENCE is key. You don't want to rush your investments or trades simply to be involved in a trade. There are thousands of companies in the market and "there will always be another great trade or opportunity."

Our subscribers tend to be very smart researchers who like to make investments with low risk/great upside but most of all you will find that they all share one common trait: Good Patience!

If you're upside down on a trade always remember that you don't actually lose your money until you sell that "bad" stock, so understand the next catalyst and reconsider your position. It may be worth it to hold on for the next event that will bring the stock back. Be patient and smart with your money- especially before you buy into a company.


In order to profit in this sector, which we obviously feel is an exciting sector armed with tremendous potential and many key profit opportunities, you must first get a grasp of some of the basic concepts of biotech investing. I suggest that you pick up and read one of the many great books out there about biotech investing. They are well worth your time and energy to read.

Below are some examples...




BiomedReports is not paid or compensated to report news and developments about publicly traded companies. Full disclosure can be read at the bottom of / About Us / Section

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Comments (34)add comment

Oren Korem said:

...
Hello,
What is the most recommende book by you ?
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: -1

rich lewis said:

...
I have just read your post on how do i make money in biotech.
If you start a fourm with positive tips and info. that would be great.
I have been an investor know for two years. I started with $32,000 and now just over $400K.
My tip that i have learned is know the dollar amount you want to pay for the stock and the sale price before you eveen buy the stock and dont get greedy.
When you get greedy you loose.
And don't believe all the reports you read.
GLTA.

If you post please do not use my real name
Thank you,
R.L.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +2

Harris Shapiro said:

...
Very good response but I feel your Calender has to be organized better. I find it very hard to read. Why don't you list upcoming review in order of the date expected and alphabeticly.Also your categories ie. latest news, breaking new, most popular etc have to be renamed. Also why is your coverage of an important announcement out way after the news is released ie yesterday on VVUS.Thank you.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

M.E.Garza said:

...
Harris, perhaps you didn't know this, but the calendar is fully sortable. You can click on the category-- DATE, STOCK SYMBOL, ETC and it will sort the information as you've described it.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +3

jason said:

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Dear Mr. Garza.
Thanks for all your hard work, and I have to agree that your site are very informative. I hope your new updated website will have some sort of price quote next to the stocks ticker. I would love to scan through and pick the stock that I like at the price that I'm comfortable with.
thanks
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

mourad ayad said:

...
hi
i am a pharmacist and investor I find the information very interesting great site that i find my self checking multiple times a day
WHAT I FIND MY SELF MISSING IS GET THE NEWS FIRST BEFORE THE STOCK JUMP
can you help, it will also be great for paid subscriber to be able to manage their bio-stock out of the same site
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +2

Anselm said:

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How do I print out the whole FDA calendar? Thanks.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +0

M.E.Garza said:

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I'm afraid you can't print the whole calendar out. That is by design in order to keep the data secure and off some of those "free" sites we talked about. Besides that, as we said, the data is always changing and being updated.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

Deolall Itwaru said:

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Mr. Garza,

The article is very informative and the calendar is great. However, it seems that the recent trend is not so much the FDA approval that is driving the stocks, rather it is the confirmation by the companies that they have met (as in the case of HGSI and VVUS) or not met (as in the case of ACAD) their endpoints. I should also point out that I am super novice trader who started a few months ago so there is a real possibility that both events (meeting endpoints and FDA Approval) are pretty much one and the same and I don't know it. But I wanted to ask if you can comment a little on this.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +3

bernard said:

...
Mr Garza and your team
this is a very excellent idea.
first, the more knowledgable the investors the better the return (most likely)
the better the return the more money will come to the biotech sectors, ect...
second, this is something i wanted to ask myself and never did. what i would like to learn is :how do you find out @ cpnies?-biel is not on the calandar and yet a very good pick- where do you look for dd? - besides a cpny web site and yours - for ex sppi how do u find out the size of a market for a new medecine and if there r already other med on that market how do u determine what share this one can have? looking at sppi again how do you know that the odds were very good for zevalin?-just by the result of the ph II u can predict ph III or other ways?
if you were to list the different steps that brings u to be long on a cpny and for ex each week u could detail one step through different perspectives and authors. just some thoughts!
anyway a big Thank You to all for ur great work. (plz excuse my mistakes since i m a foreigner)
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +0

Tom said:

...
I've been a member from BMR. for several months now and I am happy with it, but I hardly ever use the calender, you should def improve it.

For example; You cannot even use CRTL+F to search for a ticker!! That is just DOS-style.

Anyway, I pay because I make money (from the premium acces area), I dont use the calendar very much. Keep up the good work, your making me a happy and rich man!
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: -1

Lindsey Cantwell said:

...
So given that 1-3 month window and looking at the calendar, not too many of those companies have been highlighted by your articles. What companies should I be looking at within that window? Also not sure how to determine if the current stock price is too much or overpriced.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +0

Francisco Castro said:

...
Garza,

The calendar is good but the issue with the sort is that only one sort can be applied. Like usually what I would want to do is sort by date and then ticker or date and type (clinical, fda, etc). But I cannot do that, I can either pick date or type or ticker. That would make the calendar much better (you've definitely improved it alot in the last 5 months!!)
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

Danley said:

...
I know you will NEVER publish NEGATIVE or post that disagrees with you
and your money maker ie....$120 a year report, but anyways isn't this
site more in line with a pump and dump scheme also?

You pump a stock and people get in for the rush, when it shows no FDA
approval you dump and everyone dumps.

That's the truth, many first time investors get ruined because of this
and you never write about it.

Yes this is a informative site, but you also make money off of people's
hopes and dreams. But that fine little print down in the bottom is always
there to protect, right?

Don't worry I don't need to pay to get FREE infos, it's all online and forums
which people share your supposed secrets for FREE.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

BioPharma Investor said:

...
I offer free stock advice and have worked in the industry for awhile now. Check out articles posted on Seeking Alpha. You can find my advice on the following pages.
http://biopharmainvestor.blogspot.com/

Check out my 10 rules for investing BioPharma.
http://biopharmainvestor.blogspot.com/2009/08/10-rules-of-investing-biopharma.html

Good Luck. Watch out for FDA decisions. They are risky and can make or break a company even in Phase III trials with positive results in previous trials. Most clinical trials do not succeed. Diversify and only invest 5-10 percent of your portfolio in 1 trade. If you can afford to lose it invest more for more Risk/Reward ratios.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +2

M.E.Garza said:

...
Bernard,

Finding diamonds in the rough- like BIEL and SPPI- require lots of research and hard work. We started talking about BIEL when it was under a penny, and it's now at .09 with more room to run.

We are constantly looking for "gems." We call companies, speak to insiders, go to conferences- like the one we're at now here in New York City- all with one purpose. Find some great stocks to both trade and invest in.

Mike Havrilla, has a fantastic track record of uncovering small cap biomed plays with bright futures. I've seen him post analysis for a particular company and the stock jumps to over 100% gains that same day.

I like to find companies that have a great story to tell, as well as solid catalysts and news events that are going to drive the price higher. Today, for example, I stumbled upon a mindblowing opportunity in the small cap sector that is directly related to some of the big advancements being made in the Alzheimers field. I can't believe this opportunity, so now i go to work researching the company, talking to the CEO, trying to get a sense of where they are now and where they are going. I'll be happy to let you know how that turns out- by the way.

It's a difficult sector too because unlike traditional stocks, many of these biotech companies are not profitable, some never have been- so the way you "value" a company is much different in this space.

Most of the plays in this sector are speculative- based on potential news, development, approvals, discoveries, medical break-throughs, clinical trial data, etc... It takes getting a firm grasp of the rules and language first and foremost (that's why I recommend the books to start). Once you know the rules of the game and what they mean, then you can get a better feel for how to play a stock (long or short for example) given a particular piece of news or a development.
It takes time, research and looking under every rock. Soon, when we launch some of these more interactive features, we'll ask YOU what stocks you like and why.. Then we can help do some of the investigation, evaluation and interviews if need be to polish up the find- or expose it as fools gold.

I think this place will become way more interesting and profitable in the future. Keep the feedback coming.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

marc tino said:

...
we need more updates an alerts during before an after a stock jumps or slumps....i took a huge hit on ACAD after i took huge gains i followed it up to 6 an since it rose so high on spec i thought ppl new something an i bought more after i profited an i got caught but so far im doin well keep up the good info i luv ur site im making money no complaints here just more info needed more updates more networking get everyone involved...
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +0

Joann Irvine said:

...
I just recently joined biomed reports and want to say "THANK YOU"!! Prior finding this site, I was doing all of the research on my own. I was eating, drinking and sleeping research. Thank you for reassuring me on being patient. Panic set in on HGSI and didn't make as much as I should have. I am ordering one of the books right now to kick into gear.

I find the site very user friendly and to say the least, extremely helpful, but I am sure any changes you make will be positive ones.

The one suggestion that really hit me was having the stock ticker price next to stock. That would be GREAT!!!!

Again, thanks for all of your hard work.

 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +0

Kim Le said:

...
Mr. Garza,

As you mentioned about BIEL, do you think it will have room to go higher and how high? i'm planning to add more positions but don't want to get caught in the pumps. I also have positions in SPPI as well in 6's, and planning to hold long but it's hard to see the pps going down. any thought? Thanks in advance.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

Alluvian said:

...
Before BioMedReports, investors were paying tens of thousands of dollars a year for this FDA calendar information. We gather, update, organize and make the information available to our subscribers for a very reasonable fee. BEWARE of sites promising free FDA Calendar information. They do not update the data and often publish outdated or flat out wrong information and that will quickly cause you to lose money. Their intentions are often malicious, and while they pride themselves in giving away the information for free, the truth is that they actively hit their members up for "donations" and harvest e-mail accounts and personal data for other uses. Worse yet, they end up causing damage to the bio investment community by flooding the market with bad intelligence. at the end of the day, you get what you pay for.


Well said! I've had to argue this point on numerous forums. As well, I've also had to call out many who directly copy and paste from biomedreports.com.

I appreciate all the work you guys do here. The reports, blog, and FDA calendar has helped to make me a much more informed investor.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +0

alankorskey said:

...
Like many others, I want to say thanks. Your website is great, and the cost of being a subscriber has already paid for itself 10 times over in the last month since I joined. I look forward to making more money with a lot of help from your great research. Keep up the good work and good luck to all!!!
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

Pitt4Rx said:

...
I really enjoy the research and articles from BMR. The only thing I would like changed is too much of the information is given out on seeking alpha free when I would rather have members get a 2-3 day preview.
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

Tom Hamilton said:

...
Hi; I'm a new investor too, with about 40+ trades to date over a few months, and am currently abut 15% down due basically to stupid mistakes. What I have found tremendously interesting, though scary, is using real-time quoting software like e-signal, with which you can have up to 200 cos. on the screen, and to see those numbers dance red and green is amazing. That way you can surf stocks shooting up, and by quick I mean 10s of % in minutes, if you catch them at the right time, or catch them at bottom if they fall badly. You need real-time software because so many times I've read tips on this site, then failed to observe them-50%+ gainers!
It's highly nerve racking, and I've kicked my self so many times for not buying, but for now am just watching.
I have a question. I live in Japan-how on earth do I buy OTC shares?
Thanks. Great site Garza and Havrilla!
 
September 10, 2009
Votes: +1

plutomania.inc said:

...
the site is great i check it several times day

you guys need to fix the forums page or have some means by which members can communicate with one another
 
September 11, 2009
Votes: +1

Dave said:

...
You don't make money in the stock markets unless you work on Wall St.
The whole system is skewed agaisnt us retail investors.Really were all just breaking even unless you have professional help and insider information.
 
September 11, 2009
Votes: +0

kirchart said:

...
Your site is awesome, you guys definitely are on top of the biotech industry. Although the calender is sort of annoying because I cant cut and paste, it is totally worth it and I've made 50 times the cost of joining since I've started 1 month ago!
 
September 12, 2009
Votes: +0

Jose Arroyo said:

...
I bought Biel in the 0.0057-.0061 bc of that report and i bought millions of shares and im doing really good... waiting for it to hit a 0.25-0.50 or even a buck to cash out big...
 
September 12, 2009
Votes: +1

Johnson said:

...
It suck so bad... I tried to buy some BIEL on Friday and Scottrade said "Can't Buy... It set to sell only" Does anyone has the same problem?
 
September 12, 2009
Votes: +0

Moto said:

...
I am a very new and also a foreigner, and just start to invest about two months. I have found BMR site by accident. I am losing money on my stock selection... that make me very cautious of spending money. I wonder with your membership, is there any trial period that I could try first, before I buy to become the member?
One thing that I am afraid is, to understand your report... since some of your members have a difficult time to understand.

thank you in advanced
 
September 13, 2009
Votes: +0

M.E.Garza said:

...
Kim Le,

I think both those stocks have significant room to run up and are both still undervalued.

Dave,

I tend to agree with you, actually. This is a rigged game in many respects and the quicker you get on the right side of the game, the better. One way to do that is good market intelligence and knowing the playground rules. This article touched on both those things. This sector of the market has the power to make us all very wealthy, in my opinion more quickly than any other sector, but you have to learn what certain events mean for the companies and stocks involved. You can't learn that on your own. You need guidance from books, others.

Jose,

Glad to hear you are making money. That is my absolutely favorite part. I think this could be a big week or even month for BIEL. It's up to the company to screw things up, really. They have a lot going for them. If things continue, I see no reason for it to be a big success for both the company and investors in months/years to come. I'd consider leaving some of the huge profits in for the long term once you hit your goals with the current run. I did that with CTIC and others that i had gotten into at the five cent level and it proved to be a better choice than others where I had taken my profits and gotten out way too early. Still, follow your own plan and gut.
 
September 13, 2009
Votes: +1

bernard said:

...
Mr Garza
Thank you for your response.
Once I identify a promissing field like biomakers for ex ,how do I found cpnies working on therapeutics in that field.
Do you have books ,articles(even if it costs) ,websites( free or not )that you would recommand me in order to learn( I have some science education;I am a french dentist although I don t practice here)
Thank you for time and information
 
September 17, 2009
Votes: +0

AJ said:

...
Mr.Garza, I am a very small investor. All I had is $500 and after I read your article I bought CVM. Now I have a couple of thousand dollars. I am not sure about how to express my thanks to you. You are GREAT!

Thanks You so much!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
-AJ
 
October 01, 2009
Votes: +0

AJ said:

...
Mr Garza,

Please come up with a new pick less than .10 cents which can have more potential like CVM.

Thanks in advance!

-AJ
 
November 13, 2009
Votes: +0

M.E.Garza said:

...
We come up with great small penny picks all the time. As far as getting an education in the sector.. Buy some of the books I recommended.
 
November 17, 2009
Votes: +0

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